HYBRID FORECASTING OF PHOTOVOLTAIC GENERATION FOR POWER-SYSTEM BALANCING

Abstract

The rapid expansion of solar generation in Ukraine has shifted the operational focus from installed capacity growth to controllability of output. For modern PV operators, annual energy yield alone is no longer sufficient; consistent day-ahead and intraday schedule compliance is equally important. As the PV share increases, the balancing process becomes more sensitive to forecast deviations, particularly during morning and evening ramps.

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